A Unified Framework to Prioritize RNA Virus Cross-Species Transmission Risk Across an Expansive Host Landscape.

Abstract

RNA viruses exhibit high mutation rates and strong host adaptive capacity, posing major public health challenges. Although meta-transcriptomic studies have uncovered vast numbers of novel RNA viral sequences, identifying those with spillover risks remains difficult. Current virus host-prediction methods can only predict a narrow set of host labels at coarse taxonomic levels (e.g., kingdom or order), which hampers precise evaluation of cross-species transmission risk and may overlook potential zoonotic hosts. To overcome these limitations, we developed UniVH, a unified virus-host association prediction framework trained on an exceptionally broad spectrum of 90 viral families and 240 host families, enabling robust prediction even for phylogenetically distant or data-scarce hosts. UniVH achieved a host prediction accuracy of 71.2% for novel viruses discovered after 2020, representing a 15.3% improvement over conventional BLASTp-based homology approaches. Feature interpretation revealed that viral structural genes and host immune- and metabolism-related genes contributed most significantly to predictive performance. Model predictions indicated widespread host-range expansion, with 20 mammalian virus families doubling their documented mammalian host ranges and several showing marked increases in viruses with human-infection potential. This unified, interpretable framework represents an important methodological advance for future RNA virus spillover-risk evaluation and emerging virus prioritization.