Peer-reviewed veterinary case report
Transmission tree of the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) epidemic in Israel, 2015.
- Journal:
- Veterinary research
- Year:
- 2016
- Authors:
- Vergne, Timothée et al.
- Affiliation:
- Department of Production and Population Health · United Kingdom
- Species:
- bird
Abstract
The transmission tree of the Israeli 2015 epidemic of highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1) was modelled by combining the spatio-temporal distribution of the outbreaks and the genetic distance between virus isolates. The most likely successions of transmission events were determined and transmission parameters were estimated. It was found that the median infectious pressure exerted at 1 km was 1.59 times (95% CI 1.04, 6.01) and 3.54 times (95% CI 1.09, 131.75) higher than that exerted at 2 and 5 km, respectively, and that three farms were responsible for all seven transmission events.
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Search related cases →Original publication: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/27814754/